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Herb’s Stock Page

Stock Quotes from Yahoo!
Enter one or more ticker symbols, or you may look up the symbol by company name.

Site List: New Sites - General Market - Best Stocks - Dow Stocks - Business Publications - Stock-Aid Investment Club - Barron’s Top 20 Websites - Other Financial - Taxes - Cars - Company - Stock Concepts
New Sites: U.S. Savings Bonds[new]
Mark Skousen[new] - Good articles on the basics of investing and economics.
Missing Money [new] Find lost money from lost accounts in several states.
Bankrate.com[new] - Find finance rateson everything from car loans to home loans to CD rates
General Market: Bullish. The market is heading up. 200day Moving Average is heading up. A rising tide lifts all boats, right?
However, there are Economic Troubles:
-Stock are "valued" too highly. Today, the S+P 500 trades well above its long-term average P/E for the S+P 500.
Huge increases in debt - bankruptcies, personal, corporate, government
-Federal budget outlays are soaring, and not just defense
-the dirty linen of Corporate America is showing: with accounting irregularities, Wall Street shenanigans, shady analysts pumping worthless stock, along with a failure of SEC to swiftly prosecute
-High corporate insider selling
-Huge and increasing foreign trade deficit, $1B per day!
-Terrorism here, and threats of war abroad
-lack of technological innovation in PCs - what's after office suites and internet/email?
-Fed Reserve has started raising rates from historic low levels. Have you re-financed?

However, none of the above means that the stock market can't go up. STILL above its 200-day Moving Average!

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Business Sites: International Business Internet Guide . Barron's . Business Week . CNBC . The Economist magazine . Fast Company . Forbes . Forbes Investing links . Forbes Personal Finance and Careers links . Fortune . Investor's Businesss Daily . Kiplinger's . Money . Red Herring . Smart Money . Success . Wall Street Journal
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Stock-Aid Investment Club: Check out our Portfolio (and your fantasy stocks) on Yahoo Finance that Mike Sloane set up. Remember the Password?

Our online broker: TD Ameritrade
Our checking account: Landmark Credit Union
NAIC: National Association of Investment Clubs
Online Premium Services (OPS)
iclub Club Accounting

Yahoo Business Pages of the 13 companies that we own: Armor Holdings . Caterpillar . Dell . Dawson Geophysical . Eaton Vance . Fiserv . Genentech . Harley Davidson . Lowe's . Navteq . Nicholas Financial . Oshkosh Truck . XTO Energy

For Bears only Fiend Bear . Financial Sense . Prudent Bear

Three good places to start learning about investing - Invest FAQ . Investor Words

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Top Financial sites according to Barron’s:
Bonds: Yahoo Bond Center . Briefing.com .
Chat/Message Boards: Yahoo Finance . Silicon Investor . Raging Bull
Commentary: thestreet.com . Wall Street Journal . Briefing.com . CBS MarketWatch .
Company Research and Reports: Multex Investor . Hoover's . Edgar Online . Free Edgar .
Economic Data: Economy.com . Economist.com
Education: The Motley Fool . SIA Investor . American Association of Individual Investors
Financial News: Wall Street Journal . CBS MarketWatch . CNN Money . Yahoo Finance . Bloomberg
Global Markets: Financial Times . Wall Street Journal
Mutual Funds: Morningstar . Smart Money .
Portfolio Trackers: MSN Money . Smart Money . Quicken.com .
Screening Tools: MSN Money . Smart Money . Wall Street City . Zack's Custom Stock Screener - Find stocks that meet your investing strategy.
Supersites: Yahoo Finance . MSN Money . Quicken.com . Lycos Finance . Thomson Financial Network
Tech News: CNET news.com . Wall Street Journal
Technical Analysis: Prophet.net . ClearStation . Stock Charts . Big Charts . Stocks and Commodities

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Other Financial Websites: Automatic Investment Management (AIM) . Bob Brinker . Business Directory . CANSLIM . CardWeb Credit card info . Daily Reckoning . E-Signal . Free Real Time . International Institute of Trading Mastery . INVESTools . Online Investor . Social Security . Stocks At Bottom . Stretcher . Strong Funds . Validea . Wall Street Research Net

Futures: Brite Futures . INO.com . Refco Futures
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Taxes: IRS . Escape Artist . Freedom and Prosperity . Bankrate Tax Page . Investors Offshore . Low Tax.net . Tax-News . Sovereign Society . Tax and Accounting Sites Directory

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Herb's Company's website Reader's Digest . Reiman Publications . Reiman Publications E-Mail Access . Medical/Dental Plans . Retail Prescription Drugs . Mail-Order Prescription Drugs . Flexible Spending Accounts . Employee Stock Purchase Plan - Mellon Investor Services . Hyatt Legal Plan . Pharmacy Checker
Check your Reiman 401k at Vanguard

Froedtert Hospital . Net Benefits . Hynek's 401k site
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Stock Concepts: or "What (seems to) Work"
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More will be added at a later date. Any immediate questions can be answered by doing a basic web search. Besides, you might find something interesting yourself.

There are different theories on how to make money on Wall Street. I have found that most systems fall into the following categories:
Faster - Momentum (M)
Cheaper - Value (V)
Better - Growth (G)
More - Fed policy and money (liquidity)
Time - Cycles (C)

Ask Yourself: What factors influence my stock market decisions? Are they relevant, or extraneous and wasteful? What are you in the market for? Don’t automatically say “Money!!” I have seen way too many times that people sometimes want something else from “Mr. Market”, excitement, pride, even suffering.

Buy Low, Sell High? Only if you believe in Value theory. Otherwise use Buy High, Sell Higher using Momentum theory.

What (seems to) Work:

Buy Low and Sell High using Value Theory
V1. National Association of Investment Clubs (NAIC) using the Stock Selection Guide (SSG)
V2. Use Invest% theory found in the Moneypaper. See Below.
V3. Stock Tactics System and Wiest System- Channel systems. E-mail me on these. V4. Automatic Investment Management (AIM) by Robert Lichello.

Buy High, Sell Higher using Momentum Theory:
M1. Adam Theory from Welles Wilder - Price Projection and Money Management
M2. Telephone Switch Newsletter from Dick Fabian - Buy above Moving Average crossing
M3. High-Low Analysis - Buy above prior high, Sell below prior low

Timing using Growth and Momentum Theory:
GM1. Investor’s Business Daily - CANSLIM Theory
GM2. Nicholas Darvas - Techno-Fundamentalist, Box Theory
(both of these use some form of technical analysis, which is somewhat useful by itself, much more useful with other ideas.)

Timing using Cycle Theory:
C1. Seasonality-Monthly, Calendar Quarters and Presidential Cycle. Yes there is a time and a season for everything, including investing. I learned this from Market Logic and Yale Hirsch.

Fed policy and money (liquidity) Interest Rate (Yield Curve) Analysis. High interest rates hurt the market as people seek alternate investments. Remember, there are many places to put your money. There is a lot of competition out there. Bonds might be an alternative.

Rising interest rates and rising inflation hurt stocks. Lower earnings (or profits, that dirty word) hurt stocks also. The opposite of these three help stocks.

Don’t Mix Methods. Sell your positions for the same reason you bought it, but whatever you do, don’t mix methods.

If you buy with Value in mind, sell with Value in mind. Do not decide that, all of a sudden, Momentum will work now. The only exception that I can think of is to use Cycles of Time to help better time your entrance and exit.

When to use market orders. This depends if the market is in an uptrend or downtrend, and if you are buying or selling
(Mkt is a Market order, buy or sell immediately; GTC is a Good-Till-Cancelled order):

Buy Sell
Mkt GTC in Uptrend
GTC Mkt in Downtrend

Use Invest% to buy low and sell high. That’s what we try to do in investing, right? Only sometimes, see Value theory above.

(YH - Today) divided by (YH - YL) = Invest%

where YH=Yearly high, YL=Yearly low, Today=today’s price

Invest% will give you a “factor” to use to help you determine how much to invest that month. This works best with some kind of systematic investment program. It accentuates Dollar Cost Averaging, since you buy more (in absolute dollar terms) as the price goes down, and buy less (in absolute dollar terms) as the price goes up. Since you are varying your purchase amounts you need to have a cushion, because some months you will buy more.

More will be added at a later date. Any immediate questions can be answered by doing a basic web search. Besides, you might find something interesting yourself.

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Site List: New Sites - General Market - Best Stocks - Dow Stocks - Business Publications - Stock-Aid Investment Club - Barron’s Top 20 Websites - Other Financial - Taxes - Company - Stock Concepts
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since 10-17-1999

Last updated: 5-02-2006 visits since 1-09-2000

You can email me at hripka@execpc.com